Sports Handicapping System – Do You Have The Guts To Learn From Example?
Several years ago a friend called and told me he was playing poker online. He suggested I play too. I hated gambling. I had lost a lot a few years earlier and swore it off. But of course one night I didn’t have anything to do and thought I would check it out.
I started on the free tables but that seemed like a waste of time. Not everyone was playing poker to win, they were playing online poker to ruin other peoples fun. They would go all in every hand until they went out or gained a big chip advantage. For a while I thought ‘What’s the sport in that?’. At the time I thought it was just dumb luck and not a strategy at all. Since that time I’ve discovered it is a real strategy. It may depend on a lot of luck but it was a strategy.
I remember the friend sending me a link learn how to figure pot odds. I blew him off. I told him I wanted to learn how to play poker on my own.
That’s about the stupidest thing I have ever said.
Here I was playing for real money against people who were trying to take my money away. Poker is a skill. There are pot odds, drawing odds, position, the abilities of the other players and about a thousand other things that go on in a poker tournament. I expected to learn them by discovery? How arrogant is that?
After I had lost a couple thousand dollars I thought maybe I should start reading some books and learn how the pros play. I figured to learn a strategy, I should actually play the way the book said instead of just reading the strategy. Do you have any idea how hard that is?
If you play any game for a while, you’ll develop habits from experience. You learn not to play 7-2 the same way you learn not to stick your hand in fire. You get hurt a few times and you quit doing things a certain way. If a book’s strategy tells you to do something that is foreign to the way you play, it is extremely hard to break that habit. But to learn a new skill you have to force yourself to do it.
I actually learned so much that my game improved dramatically. I decided to read other players books and play their strategies. After learning how a strategy worked, I could think of specific situations where it would apply and use it then.
You should do the same thing with your sports handicapping.
Instead of fumbling around trying to develop your own strategy, and losing lots of money while you do it, you should follow other peoples advice. The best way is to buy someone’s “picks”. Follow them a bit without committing a bet. You may want to get a spreadsheet and take notes on their win/loss ratio. Would you have made money with their info? If not can them.
But if your tracking shows that you would have made money, follow their advice and make real money bets. I know this isn’t as fun or exciting as picking your own winners but if you are astute, you can learn their patterns from their picks. Instead of just knowing a pick won, try to figure out why.
The next task is to make your own picks. Continue to use their picks but place your own bets on your own picks with play money. You’ll still be making money handicapping but you will also start learning. When your picks winning ratio surpasses the paid picks, its time to quit paying for information. You have developed your own system but still been profitable along the way.
Here is a system that comes highly rated.
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